Crown vs Giwa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
KAN
3 - 2
CRO
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
ENY
45%
31%
24%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NEM
1 - 1
CRO
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
ELK
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
KAD
5 - 0
CRO
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Giwa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
GIW
1 - 0
HEA
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LOB
2 - 1
GIW
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
GIW
2 - 1
NEM
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GIW
2 - 0
BAY
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AKW
2 - 0
GIW
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |