Crotone U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
16º
16º
37
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
CRO
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 4
PES
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ASC
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 2
CRO
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 3
CRO
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 2
BEN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 5
SPE
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 1
NAP
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
5 - 0
PES
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |