Croacia U21 vs Suecia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 3
NED
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
6 - 0
CRO
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 1
CRO
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CRO
1 - 2
SUI
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
CRO
4 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Suecia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
ENG
4 - 0
SWE
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CZE
1 - 1
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 3
ITA
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |