Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
55.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1896 |
ARS
7 - 0
CRE
73%
15%
11%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
CRE
0 - 1
GRI
17%
19%
64%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1896 |
GRI
2 - 0
CRE
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
CRE
1 - 1
LEI
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1896 |
MAC
4 - 0
CRE
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1896 |
POR
3 - 0
MUD
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1896 |
LEI
5 - 0
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1896 |
BUR
2 - 1
POR
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
POR
1 - 1
LEI
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
POR
0 - 1
LIN
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |