League One Round 21

Crewe Alexandra vs Doncaster Rovers analysis

Crewe Alexandra Doncaster Rovers
59 ELO 67
18.4% Tilt 5.7%
2898º General ELO ranking 1844º
77º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
39.7%
Crewe Alexandra
25.4%
Draw
34.9%
Doncaster Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.9%
Win probability
Doncaster Rovers
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crewe Alexandra
+1%
+27%
Doncaster Rovers

ELO progression

Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2007
HAR
Hartlepool United
3 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
52%
24%
24%
60 64 4 0
08 Dec. 2007
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 0
Walsall
WAL
51%
25%
25%
60 64 4 0
04 Dec. 2007
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 3
Gillingham
GIL
54%
23%
24%
61 59 2 -1
01 Dec. 2007
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
46%
24%
30%
62 63 1 -1
24 Nov. 2007
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
59%
23%
18%
63 70 7 -1

Matches

Doncaster Rovers
Doncaster Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2007
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 2
Yeovil Town
YEO
52%
25%
23%
67 62 5 0
08 Dec. 2007
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Doncaster Rovers
DON
39%
27%
34%
67 63 4 0
04 Dec. 2007
DON
Doncaster Rovers
0 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
55%
25%
20%
67 65 2 0
27 Nov. 2007
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 2
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
56%
23%
21%
68 62 6 -1
24 Nov. 2007
POR
Port Vale
1 - 3
Doncaster Rovers
DON
30%
27%
43%
68 58 10 0