Creteil vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
REI
2 - 1
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 2
NIO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ANG
2 - 0
LUS
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LUS
0 - 2
IST
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
STL
3 - 1
LUS
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
LMU
2 - 2
CLE
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LMU
3 - 0
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SOC
3 - 0
LMU
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GUI
2 - 4
LMU
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |