Créteil II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
IRI
5 - 1
CRE
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
CRE
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 3
RAC
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 1
SEZ
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 2
CRE
18%
23%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
SEZ
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 2
SED
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
ARR
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
ARR
2 - 0
STG
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |