Crema vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRE
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
ASD
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
USD
0 - 1
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
FAN
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FAN
0 - 1
MAN
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
ADR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 4
PSM
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |