CRB vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
CRB
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
CRB
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 1
BAH
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 0
CRB
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 2
ALE
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAL
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAB
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
VCR
0 - 0
SAL
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
SAL
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |