CRB vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
1 - 2
ICA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CRB
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CRB
0 - 1
ASA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
CRB
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ASA
5 - 2
CON
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAL
2 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CRB
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CON
0 - 2
ICA
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |