CRB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
CRB
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
CRB
2 - 0
IFC
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRB
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CRB
4 - 3
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CEA
4 - 0
TIR
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 2
CEA
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |