Cray Valley PM vs Haywards Heath Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
20º
6º
36
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 67 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
66 | 66 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
65 | 65 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
57 | 57 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
38 | 38 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
31 | 31 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
28 | 28 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Valley PM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 0
CRA
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
SIT
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CRA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
CRA
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CRA
5 - 3
EAS
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Haywards Heath Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HAY
2 - 2
CHA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HAY
0 - 2
SIT
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 3
HAY
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
HAY
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAY
2 - 0
LIT
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |