Crawley Town vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BRO
2 - 1
CRA
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 3
STE
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
KSV
11%
17%
72%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
FOR
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
4 - 1
SWI
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 4
CHE
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |