Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 1
CRA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 2
TOW
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
CRA
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 1
CUM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 2
LEY
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LEY
0 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 0
SOU
66%
18%
15%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEY
4 - 0
OLD
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |