Crawley Town vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
CRA
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
BEC
0 - 1
CRA
8%
13%
79%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 3
CRA
12%
18%
71%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 5
CRA
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
THR
0 - 1
CRA
11%
18%
71%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
5 - 0
GIL
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LEY
2 - 0
GIL
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GIL
1 - 1
MIL
33%
26%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
GIL
22%
23%
56%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |