Crawley Town vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
GRI
2 - 1
CRA
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
COL
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
STE
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 3
TOW
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 0
LEY
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EXE
3 - 2
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
EXE
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 0
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |