Crato vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
CRA
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIT
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
17%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
5 - 0
GAV
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EPO
2 - 1
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 3
NAV
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
NAV
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
FAT
43%
28%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |