CRAC vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
GOI
0 - 1
CRA
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 1
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 0
CRA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
CRA
1 - 2
ATL
35%
25%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JAT
2 - 2
CRA
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MIN
0 - 0
ITU
50%
23%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 0
ANA
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
ITU
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 1
ITU
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 1
GOI
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +1 |