SPL Round 4

Cowdenbeath vs Third Lanark analysis

Cowdenbeath Third Lanark
72 ELO 68
-6.7% Tilt 12.9%
5739º General ELO ranking 34380º
66º Country ELO ranking 209º
ELO win probability
55.3%
Cowdenbeath
21.7%
Draw
23.1%
Third Lanark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.1%
Win probability
Third Lanark
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Third Lanark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 1928
STJ
St. Johnstone
3 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
44%
24%
32%
73 68 5 0
03 Nov. 1928
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
53%
23%
24%
73 72 1 0
27 Oct. 1928
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
57%
21%
22%
73 71 2 0
20 Oct. 1928
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
63%
20%
17%
73 64 9 0
13 Oct. 1928
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
68%
17%
15%
73 80 7 0

Matches

Third Lanark
Third Lanark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 1928
TLA
Third Lanark
1 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
48%
22%
30%
69 77 8 0
03 Nov. 1928
TLA
Third Lanark
2 - 4
Clyde
CLY
69%
17%
14%
70 66 4 -1
27 Oct. 1928
HIB
Hibernian FC
6 - 1
Third Lanark
TLA
65%
18%
17%
71 74 3 -1
20 Oct. 1928
TLA
Third Lanark
1 - 3
Aberdeen
ABE
54%
22%
24%
71 77 6 0
13 Oct. 1928
DUN
Dundee
2 - 2
Third Lanark
TLA
67%
18%
15%
71 83 12 0