Scottish Championship Round 21

Cowdenbeath vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Cowdenbeath Dunfermline Athletic FC
60 ELO 62
10.9% Tilt -0.5%
5735º General ELO ranking 1784º
66º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
40.5%
Cowdenbeath
25.4%
Draw
34.2%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.2%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2013
CWB
Cowdenbeath
4 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
37%
26%
37%
58 64 6 0
26 Jan. 2013
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
65%
22%
14%
58 67 9 0
12 Jan. 2013
HAM
Hamilton Academical
2 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
50%
26%
24%
59 61 2 -1
05 Jan. 2013
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
39%
25%
36%
59 62 3 0
02 Jan. 2013
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
43%
25%
32%
59 52 7 0

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2013
HAM
Hamilton Academical
1 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
45%
26%
29%
62 63 1 0
02 Feb. 2013
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 2
Hamilton Academical
HAM
58%
22%
21%
64 61 3 -2
26 Jan. 2013
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 1
Livingston
LIV
57%
22%
21%
64 62 2 0
12 Jan. 2013
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 3
Airdrieonians
AIR
79%
14%
7%
65 51 14 -1
05 Jan. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
26%
25%
50%
65 53 12 0