Lowland League . Jor. 32

Cowdenbeath vs Berwick Rangers analysis

Cowdenbeath Berwick Rangers
38 ELO 41
-11.5% Tilt -18.9%
6325º General ELO ranking 6033º
63º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
41.6%
Cowdenbeath
26.5%
Draw
31.9%
Berwick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.9%
Win probability
Berwick Rangers
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
-2%
-6%
Berwick Rangers

Points and table prediction

Cowdenbeath
Their league position
Berwick Rangers
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
14º
11º
42
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
East Kilbride
81
81
100%
Hearts II
69
69
100%
Bo'ness United
67
67
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
65
65
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
60
60
100%
Celtic II
59
59
100%
Civil Service Strollers
56
56
100%
Linlithgow Rose
50
50
100%
Albion Rovers
46
49
20%
Stirling University
11º
46
49
10º
20.5%
Cowdenbeath
10º
46
46
11º
70.5%
Caledonian Braves
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Berwick Rangers
13º
42
42
13º
100%
East Stirlingshire
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Broomhill FC
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
12
12
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cowdenbeath
Berwick Rangers
100% 100%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Berwick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2024
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
0 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
10%
18%
72%
39 5 34 0
02 Mar. 2024
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 2
Stirling University
STI
27%
25%
48%
39 44 5 0
24 Feb. 2024
GAL
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
32%
24%
44%
38 26 12 +1
17 Feb. 2024
BFC
Broomhill FC
0 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
47%
24%
29%
37 35 2 +1
10 Feb. 2024
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 2
East Kilbride
EAS
10%
16%
75%
37 51 14 0

Matches

Berwick Rangers
Berwick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2024
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 0
Gretna 2008
GRE
82%
12%
6%
39 18 21 0
24 Feb. 2024
CFC
Celtic II
1 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
66%
20%
15%
40 46 6 -1
17 Feb. 2024
BER
Berwick Rangers
1 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
70%
17%
13%
41 28 13 -1
10 Feb. 2024
STI
Stirling University
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
60%
22%
18%
38 44 6 +3
27 Jan. 2024
BER
Berwick Rangers
4 - 0
Broomhill FC
BFC
49%
22%
29%
37 36 1 +1
X