Challenge Cup 1/16

Cowdenbeath vs Alloa Athletic analysis

Cowdenbeath Alloa Athletic
37 ELO 54
3.7% Tilt -4.4%
5677º General ELO ranking 2398º
66º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Cowdenbeath
27.5%
Draw
33.1%
Alloa Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.1%
Win probability
Alloa Athletic
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
+8%
+6%
Alloa Athletic

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Alloa Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 1999
MON
Montrose
0 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
63%
21%
16%
38 39 1 0
31 Jul. 1999
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Livingston
LIV
28%
27%
45%
37 62 25 +1
08 May. 1999
MON
Montrose
1 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
69%
19%
13%
36 40 4 +1
01 May. 1999
CWB
Cowdenbeath
0 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
30%
28%
42%
36 52 16 0
24 Apr. 1999
THE
East Stirlingshire
0 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
71%
18%
11%
36 48 12 0

Matches

Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 1999
CLY
Clyde
0 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
52%
25%
23%
53 54 1 0
31 Jul. 1999
PAR
Partick Thistle
0 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
59%
22%
19%
51 48 3 +2
08 May. 1999
ICT
Inverness CT
1 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
72%
17%
11%
51 60 9 0
01 May. 1999
ALL
Alloa Athletic
3 - 1
East Fife
EAS
65%
20%
15%
50 46 4 +1
24 Apr. 1999
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
52%
24%
24%
51 47 4 -1