Coventry City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
COV
1 - 2
MID
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 1
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 0
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
COV
2 - 0
BRE
15%
23%
62%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
COV
0 - 2
NOR
19%
25%
55%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
DER
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
NTT
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
HUR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
WYC
1 - 2
DER
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |