Costa Rica vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 1
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 0
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 0
HND
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 0
PAN
78%
14%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
USA
3 - 0
TTO
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SLV
2 - 2
USA
17%
27%
57%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
53%
24%
23%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USA
3 - 2
SWE
53%
25%
22%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
78%
15%
6%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |