Costa Rica vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
COS
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
COS
2 - 0
ABC
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
TLG
0 - 1
COS
10%
14%
76%
|
42 | 5 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
COS
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
COS
3 - 0
CHA
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 1
COM
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
TLG
3 - 4
COM
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 6 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
COS
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
COM
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |