Cosmos vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
COS
13%
20%
67%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 4
COS
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
29%
25%
47%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TFI
5 - 0
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 2
VIR
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
13%
23%
64%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
6 - 1
FAE
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
DOM
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |