Coritiba vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
COT
2 - 0
FFL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
PAY
0 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
COT
0 - 1
VAS
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
JUV
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 1
ATM
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |