Coritiba vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCI
2 - 2
COT
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
COT
1 - 0
ATL
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 1
COT
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COT
1 - 2
SAN
20%
27%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 3
COT
77%
15%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
4 - 0
MEL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAH
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 0
BAH
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |