Corinthians vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
COR
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
BAH
60%
25%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 2
COR
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATP
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
SCI
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |