Corinthians vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
57%
25%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
VOT
1 - 0
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATI
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
VOT
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |