Paulista A1 Final

Global 4-2

Corinthians vs Santos FC analysis

Corinthians Santos FC
85 ELO 84
-4.8% Tilt 2%
127º General ELO ranking 121º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
49.8%
Corinthians
26%
Draw
24.2%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
Corinthians
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.2%
Win probability
Santos FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Corinthians
+2%
-5%
Santos FC

ELO progression

Corinthians
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Corinthians
Corinthians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2009
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
3 - 2
Corinthians
COR
41%
26%
33%
85 80 5 0
26 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 3
Corinthians
COR
46%
27%
28%
84 84 0 +1
19 Apr. 2009
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 2
Corinthians
COR
56%
25%
19%
84 88 4 0
16 Apr. 2009
MIS
Misto
0 - 2
Corinthians
COR
9%
18%
73%
84 48 36 0
12 Apr. 2009
COR
Corinthians
2 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
34%
28%
39%
84 89 5 0

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 3
Corinthians
COR
46%
27%
28%
84 84 0 0
23 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 1
CSA
CSA
86%
12%
2%
84 41 43 0
18 Apr. 2009
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
52%
25%
23%
84 84 0 0
11 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
43%
27%
30%
84 84 0 0
09 Apr. 2009
CSA
CSA
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
9%
19%
72%
84 43 41 0