Corinthians vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.4%
2.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 1
COR
27%
28%
46%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
29%
27%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
PPE
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 3
COR
17%
26%
57%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
RIO
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RBB
2 - 0
NOV
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
55%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
AGU
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
XVD
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |