Corinthians vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 1
CAT
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
COR
37%
27%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
27%
30%
43%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |