Corinthians vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ABC
0 - 1
COR
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 3
COR
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 3
COR
32%
27%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
FOR
5 - 1
GAM
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAH
1 - 1
FOR
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 2
ICA
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |