Copa Libertadores . Last 16

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Corinthians vs Boca Juniors analysis

Corinthians Boca Juniors
86 ELO 84
-9.2% Tilt -26.7%
65º General ELO ranking 89º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54%
Corinthians
24.9%
Draw
21.2%
Boca Juniors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
Corinthians
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
Boca Juniors
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Corinthians
-11%
+6%
Boca Juniors

ELO progression

Corinthians
Boca Juniors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Corinthians
Corinthians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2022
COR
Corinthians
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
54%
25%
21%
86 83 3 0
23 Jun. 2022
COR
Corinthians
4 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
55%
24%
21%
86 83 3 0
19 Jun. 2022
COR
Corinthians
1 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
63%
22%
15%
86 76 10 0
16 Jun. 2022
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
44%
28%
28%
86 84 2 0
11 Jun. 2022
COR
Corinthians
2 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
65%
21%
14%
85 75 10 +1

Matches

Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2022
BOC
Boca Juniors
1 - 2
Unión Santa Fe
CAU
52%
25%
22%
84 79 5 0
20 Jun. 2022
BAR
Barracas Central
1 - 3
Boca Juniors
BOC
20%
27%
53%
84 66 18 0
16 Jun. 2022
BOC
Boca Juniors
5 - 3
Tigre
TIG
61%
23%
16%
84 74 10 0
13 Jun. 2022
CCS
Central Córdoba
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
26%
28%
47%
84 72 12 0
08 Jun. 2022
FER
Ferro Carril Oeste
0 - 1
Boca Juniors
BOC
15%
24%
61%
84 63 21 0
X