Corinthians vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COR
3 - 2
PAL
44%
27%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
COR
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 2
BAH
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
COT
4 - 0
AVA
53%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 2
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 2
AVA
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
BOT
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |