Korea DPR vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
PRK
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 0
PRK
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
2 - 0
AFG
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 1
PRK
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 1
UZB
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
TJK
3 - 0
SYR
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SYR
0 - 3
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
2 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |