Cordino vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 2
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
INT
2 - 1
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
IMP
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
COR
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 2
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
4DE
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 0
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
4DE
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 1
ALT
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |