Connah's Quay vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
CON
3 - 1
HAV
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
CON
2 - 2
CAE
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HAV
1 - 0
CON
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
CWM
2 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
CAE
0 - 3
CON
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
CON
1 - 1
CAE
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
CON
2 - 1
HOL
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
HAV
1 - 3
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
CON
2 - 4
CWM
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |