Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CON
41%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -8 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
16%
25%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 2
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |