Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
FLI
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
78%
15%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FLI
0 - 1
CAR
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |