Condor Hamburg vs Bergedorf 85 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condor Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
CON
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
BRA
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 2
RUG
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 5
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bergedorf 85
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BER
2 - 2
ALT
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BER
0 - 3
HAL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
GER
5 - 1
BER
62%
19%
20%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BER
1 - 4
BRA
57%
20%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
BER
27%
23%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |