Concordia vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CON
5 - 1
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
SAR
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DEL
1 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
TAM
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GIO
1 - 3
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
LEG
34%
25%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |