Catarinense 2 . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Concórdia vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 5
CAC
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CAC
4 - 1
JAR
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FFC
2 - 3
CAC
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
CAC
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |