Concesio vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
CON
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 3
REA
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
SZE
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ROD
1 - 1
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ADR
2 - 2
CAL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ADR
4 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 0
ADR
13%
18%
69%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 1
NAV
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DAK
3 - 1
ADR
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |