Concepción vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ACC
3 - 2
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CHG
1 - 2
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
LIM
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
OVA
1 - 1
CON
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FVC
1 - 0
SAU
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 1
FVC
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
FVC
2 - 1
IBE
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FVC
1 - 1
LAU
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SAU
0 - 1
FVC
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |