Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IBE
2 - 3
CON
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 0
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
CSD
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
DEP
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NUB
1 - 3
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COB
2 - 3
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
DLS
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DLS
3 - 1
MAG
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 2
DLS
60%
23%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |