Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 2-1
Concepción FC vs Atlético Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
26%
22%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
LLR
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
MRP
2 - 1
CON
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CAÑ
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
AGU
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 1
VSA
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VSA
1 - 1
AMA
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 1
BVT
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
AMA
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 1
SPO
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |