Concarneau vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 3
CON
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
GDB
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 2
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 2
CON
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FON
1 - 3
PAU
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TRE
0 - 0
FON
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FON
2 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LES
2 - 1
FON
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
FON
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |