Como vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
NAP
46%
27%
26%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 1
COM
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 1
USA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 4
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |